USD regime
The production engine will combine scheduled economic releases, central-bank decisions, rates and dollar-strength measures before changing signal confidence.
Source-aware • timestampedQUANTITATIVE MARKET TERMINAL
Signals built from evidence, not one magic indicator.
Multi-factor forex, gold and Bitcoin analysis with probability, regime detection and fractional-Kelly-inspired risk sizing.
Model stateCONNECTINGWaiting for the live market-data service.
MODEL OUTPUT
confidence
Estimated outcome probability
Probability of reaching +1R before -1R over the model horizon. This is not a guaranteed accuracy rate.
Confirmation matrix✓ Higher-timeframe trend aligned✓ Momentum confirmation✓ Volatility within model range✓ Statistical edge above threshold• Macro/news filter pending live feed
QUANT STACK
NO TRADE is a valid result.One signal, multiple independent checks.
KELLY-INSPIRED RISK
FractionalPosition sizing
Raw Kelly
10% Kelly
Applied risk
Raw Kelly can be extremely aggressive. The engine intentionally uses a small Kelly fraction and a hard risk ceiling. This is a sizing framework, not a profit guarantee.
MARKET OVERVIEW
Waiting for live dataAsset matrix
MARKET INTELLIGENCE
Auto insight layerContext before conviction.
Volatility regime
ATR and realized volatility distinguish ordinary conditions from abnormal movement. High-volatility conditions reduce position risk.
Model rule • adaptiveBTC 24/7 filter
Bitcoin uses separate volatility and session assumptions because it trades continuously and can experience larger intraday moves.
Asset-specific logicTRADING TOOLS